Santhià vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santhià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 1
SAN
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 2
BOR
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
GOZ
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
4 - 4
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
CHI
21%
24%
54%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
DER
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
DER
1 - 2
AST
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 0
DER
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SES
1 - 1
DER
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |