Santana vs Portosantense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
69.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
CAL
20%
22%
58%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AND
0 - 1
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
BAR
35%
25%
41%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 2
SAN
61%
21%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
4 - 1
SAN
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Portosantense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 3
POR
16%
21%
64%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
POR
6 - 0
CAM
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
CAN
35%
24%
42%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PON
2 - 0
POR
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
POR
3 - 2
POR
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |