Santana vs Macapá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
45%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
SPM
1 - 1
SEC
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
TDC
1 - 0
SEC
56%
22%
23%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
SEC
4 - 3
YAP
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | +3 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
SEC
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
SEC
0 - 6
TDC
23%
21%
57%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
TDC
3 - 0
ECM
43%
24%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
ECM
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ECM
0 - 3
SPM
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
ECM
0 - 1
YAP
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
ECM
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |