Apertura Finals . Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Santa Tecla vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
MUN
0 - 1
SAN
20%
21%
58%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
JOC
1 - 1
SAN
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
FIR
81%
14%
5%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 2
SAN
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
MUN
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
MUN
0 - 1
SAN
20%
21%
58%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
MUN
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MUN
2 - 2
JOC
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
CDM
2 - 2
MUN
7%
14%
79%
|
56 | 15 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
MUN
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |