Santa Tecla vs CD Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
SAN
22%
26%
53%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FIR
3 - 2
SAN
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
PAS
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FAS
1 - 1
SAN
26%
27%
46%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 0
IND
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
CDD
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
PAS
1 - 2
CDD
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CDD
0 - 1
FAS
30%
29%
41%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
CDD
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
CDD
0 - 2
AGU
29%
29%
43%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |