Santa Rita vs Ipanema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Rita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
ASA
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
CEO
0 - 1
SAN
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
CSA
3 - 2
SAN
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
CRZ
4%
14%
82%
|
46 | 88 | 42 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
CRZ
5 - 0
SAN
96%
3%
1%
|
47 | 88 | 41 | -1 |
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
IPA
1 - 0
CSE
20%
25%
55%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 0
IPA
60%
22%
18%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CEO
4 - 0
IPA
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
IPA
1 - 1
ASA
15%
22%
63%
|
29 | 56 | 27 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COR
3 - 0
IPA
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | -1 |