Santa Pola vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Pola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 3
SPO
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 2
RAY
21%
23%
56%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ORI
0 - 5
SPO
21%
21%
58%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
SPO
3 - 1
ELU
46%
22%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
THD
1 - 1
SPO
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 0
THD
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
IND
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
ACE
34%
26%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 0
NOV
37%
27%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |