Santa Marta vs UD Frexnense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
66.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
UCL
3 - 1
SMA
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 1
SMA
80%
12%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SMA
2 - 1
GUA
17%
19%
65%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
USA
3 - 2
SMA
52%
21%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 2
CDS
31%
23%
46%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
UD Frexnense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
UDF
2 - 1
UDF
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
UDF
3 - 1
CDB
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
UDF
17%
21%
62%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
UCL
1 - 1
UDF
59%
21%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
UDF
1 - 0
CAM
44%
25%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |