UD Morón vs Mairena Aljarafe B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
ATL
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 3
LAN
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 7
LUI
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
MOR
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MOR
4 - 1
VLZ
68%
18%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mairena Aljarafe B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MAI
3 - 1
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 4
GIL
40%
23%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MAI
4 - 4
CDP
39%
23%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
MAI
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ANA
1 - 0
MAI
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +1 |