Santa Cruz RN vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
14%
21%
66%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
NAU
14%
21%
64%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
POT
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
POT
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CEC
1 - 2
BAR
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
ARN
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASS
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ABC
2 - 0
BAR
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |