Santa Cruz vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
50.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
SAN
2 - 2
FLU
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1971 |
COT
1 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1971 |
CEA
0 - 0
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1971 |
SAN
1 - 0
VAS
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1971 |
SAN
1 - 4
COR
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
PAL
1 - 1
CRZ
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1971 |
SCI
2 - 1
PAL
48%
22%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1971 |
COR
0 - 0
PAL
50%
21%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1971 |
PAL
1 - 0
POR
75%
15%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1971 |
NAC
3 - 1
PAL
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |