Santa Cruz vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
CEN
82%
14%
4%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
SDJ
0 - 1
SAN
14%
21%
65%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 1
SAN
8%
18%
74%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SDJ
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 1
SAN
57%
23%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LAG
2 - 2
CON
13%
22%
65%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
CON
0 - 3
BAH
19%
24%
58%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CON
4 - 1
DOR
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
BAH
2 - 0
CON
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
CON
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |