Santa Cruz Breakers vs San Diego Zest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
GSC
1 - 1
SCB
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
GSF
5 - 0
SCB
90%
7%
3%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
VEN
3 - 1
SCB
61%
20%
20%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SCB
1 - 3
FRA
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2018 |
SCB
0 - 2
FRA
46%
22%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
San Diego Zest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
SDZ
1 - 1
FRA
22%
21%
57%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
SDZ
0 - 4
GSF
6%
12%
82%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
SDZ
2 - 1
OCB
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
SDZ
0 - 2
SCB
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 2
SDZ
91%
6%
3%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |