Santa Barbara CF vs Xerta A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
19.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+139%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Barbara CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
JCA
0 - 4
SBA
26%
21%
54%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SBA
1 - 3
LAM
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GOD
1 - 1
SBA
24%
21%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SBA
2 - 2
ALC
22%
19%
59%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FLI
2 - 1
SBA
31%
22%
48%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Xerta A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LAM
1 - 1
XER
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
XER
2 - 2
ALC
11%
15%
74%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAM
5 - 1
XER
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
XER
1 - 1
JYM
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
5 - 2
XER
63%
18%
19%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |