Sant Julià vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
46.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
8º
8º
27
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
UES
1 - 1
SJU
62%
23%
16%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SCO
4 - 0
SJU
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SJU
1 - 3
UES
22%
25%
52%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
SJU
48%
22%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SJU
3 - 2
FCO
41%
25%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 1
UES
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 1
PEN
31%
22%
47%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
ATL
21%
23%
55%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FCO
0 - 3
PEN
38%
23%
40%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
SJU
48%
22%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |