Sant Julià vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
8º
8º
27
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FCO
2 - 3
SJU
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SJU
0 - 3
SCO
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
INT
12 - 0
SJU
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
SJU
1 - 3
UES
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SJU
0 - 3
ATL
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
UEE
51%
22%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ATL
4 - 0
PEN
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 1
PEN
36%
22%
42%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 3
SCO
20%
23%
58%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
INT
8 - 0
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |