Sant Julià vs Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
PRI
1 - 3
SJU
34%
23%
43%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SJU
0 - 0
FCR
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
INT
1 - 4
SJU
33%
23%
43%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
SJU
2 - 0
SCO
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SCO
3 - 2
SJU
39%
23%
39%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
LUS
2 - 1
INT
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
LUS
0 - 1
FCE
44%
24%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SCO
1 - 0
LUS
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
UEE
0 - 2
LUS
38%
24%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
LUS
4 - 1
INT
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |