AD Sanjoanense vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GAF
5 - 2
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
COI
65%
21%
15%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 1
SAN
16%
19%
66%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 3
LUS
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
CES
0 - 1
UNM
18%
25%
57%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CES
2 - 0
SPO
90%
8%
3%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GON
1 - 1
CES
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PED
2 - 2
CES
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CES
1 - 2
SPC
16%
23%
62%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |