AD Sanjoanense vs AD Marco 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
1º
5º
4º
3
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
6 | 33 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 30 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 26 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
5 | 26 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 26 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 24 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 21 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 20 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
|
7º
|
3 | 19 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 18 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41.5% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
58.5% | 87.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
FAF
0 - 2
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
FEL
17%
21%
63%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ANA
0 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
3 - 1
TRO
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 2
SAN
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
ADM
0 - 0
VSC
37%
27%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
PAR
0 - 0
ADM
45%
28%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ADM
1 - 1
VSC
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
ADM
3 - 2
LEC
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ADM
0 - 0
PAR
37%
27%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |