K-League Classic Normal Season Round 24

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United analysis

Gimcheon Sangmu FC Jeju United
76 ELO 75
-3.6% Tilt 8.7%
1021º General ELO ranking 1045º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
42%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
27%
Draw
31%
Jeju United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31%
Win probability
Jeju United
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
+10%
-7%
Jeju United

Points and table prediction

Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Their league position
Jeju United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
10º
31
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
60
68
100%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
46
54
52.5%
Pohang Steelers
44
52
35%
Daejeon Citizen
42
50
29%
FC Seoul
40
48
33%
Gangwon FC
35
43
22%
Gwangju FC
35
42
21.5%
Suwon FC
31
41
17.5%
Ulsan HD FC
34
41
21.5%
Jeju United
10º
31
39
10º
23%
FC Anyang
11º
30
38
11º
48.5%
Daegu FC
12º
16
24
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Jeju United
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 0%
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
52.5% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
24.5% 0%
Mid-table
23% 59.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 40.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Jeju United
Daegu FC
FC Anyang
Gwangju FC
Daejeon Citizen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2025
GWA
Gwangju FC
1 - 1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
SAN
40%
26%
34%
76 76 0 0
18 Jul. 2025
DAE
Daegu FC
2 - 3
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
SAN
40%
26%
34%
76 75 1 0
27 Jun. 2025
SAN
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 - 2
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
JEO
42%
27%
31%
76 76 0 0
22 Jun. 2025
SAN
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 - 0
FC Anyang
FCA
40%
26%
34%
76 76 0 0
18 Jun. 2025
DCI
Daejeon Citizen
0 - 0
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
SAN
39%
26%
35%
76 76 0 0

Matches

Jeju United
Jeju United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jul. 2025
JEJ
Jeju United
3 - 2
FC Seoul
FCS
44%
27%
29%
76 76 0 0
19 Jul. 2025
JEJ
Jeju United
2 - 0
FC Anyang
FCA
40%
27%
33%
76 76 0 0
27 Jun. 2025
DCI
Daejeon Citizen
1 - 1
Jeju United
JEJ
41%
27%
32%
76 76 0 0
21 Jun. 2025
POH
Pohang Steelers
2 - 1
Jeju United
JEJ
43%
27%
30%
76 76 0 0
18 Jun. 2025
JEJ
Jeju United
0 - 1
Gwangju FC
GWA
44%
27%
29%
76 76 0 0