Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
10º
2º
42
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 54 |
2º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 52 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 50 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 48 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 43 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 41 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 39 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
52.5% | 8.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
24.5% | 28% |
|
Mid-table
|
23% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
SUW
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SUW
3 - 2
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
DAE
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 0
GAN
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 0
GWA
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Daejeon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
GAN
1 - 2
DCI
12%
17%
71%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FCS
2 - 2
DCI
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DCI
0 - 2
JEO
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
ULS
2 - 3
DCI
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
DCI
1 - 1
GWA
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |