Sandnes Ulf vs Jerv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
6º
1º
27
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 55 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 45 |
3º
|
48.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 40 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 40 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 34 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 33 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 32 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 30 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 19 |
14º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
72% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
6% | 82% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sandnes Ulf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
19%
21%
60%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
SAN
7 - 0
NOT
66%
20%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
SSK
1 - 2
SAN
43%
25%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
SAN
5 - 1
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
NOT
0 - 4
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
JER
3 - 0
FFC
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 4
JER
31%
23%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
JER
2 - 0
TRA
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
LYS
3 - 0
JER
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
JER
2 - 1
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |