San Diego State vs Oregon State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
62.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Diego State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CGB
3 - 1
SDS
40%
22%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
STA
3 - 1
SDS
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 0
WAH
7%
14%
79%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | +5 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 2
UCB
44%
22%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
OSB
5 - 0
SDS
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Oregon State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
OSB
3 - 2
STA
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
UCB
2 - 1
OSB
10%
16%
74%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
CGB
1 - 0
OSB
11%
16%
73%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
OSB
1 - 2
WAH
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
OSB
5 - 0
SDS
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | +1 |