San Telmo vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
SAR
2 - 0
STM
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
STM
0 - 3
TEM
38%
26%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2001 |
MOR
0 - 0
STM
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
STM
3 - 0
ARQ
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
ITA
3 - 2
STM
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
MER
1 - 0
ATL
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
ALB
2 - 0
MER
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2001 |
MER
0 - 0
SUA
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
ITU
0 - 2
MER
25%
25%
51%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
MER
0 - 1
ARR
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -3 |