San Simón vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
39.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAM
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GAR
4 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MEL
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAN
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
UTC
39%
28%
32%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 2
AUR
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 1
AYA
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 2
AUR
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
3 - 1
MEL
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |