San Severo vs Serpentara Bellegra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Severo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RPO
2 - 1
SSE
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SSE
1 - 3
TAR
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
APR
2 - 2
SSE
30%
23%
48%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SSE
0 - 1
NAR
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SSE
0 - 1
TUR
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Serpentara Bellegra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SER
2 - 2
TOR
39%
23%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ACI
1 - 1
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 3
PIC
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 0
SER
62%
22%
17%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SER
3 - 1
SSM
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |