San Severo vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Severo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CAV
2 - 0
SSE
80%
14%
7%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SSE
1 - 2
SFM
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TAR
2 - 0
SSE
65%
21%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SSE
0 - 2
FBC
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 0
SSE
61%
22%
17%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 1
FCF
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 1
GRA
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 3
POM
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RAA
2 - 2
GRA
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 3
AUD
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |