Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 2-4
San Roque de Lepe vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Roque de Lepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SRQ
1 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 1
SRQ
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 0
SRQ
66%
20%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ECI
3 - 3
SRQ
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
SRQ
1 - 2
ALB
26%
28%
47%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 0
ECI
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 2
CAR
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 0
SRQ
66%
20%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
CPC
1 - 2
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
UCA
79%
14%
6%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |