SN Notaresco 2018 vs Avezzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
JES
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 3
SAN
46%
26%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 5
VAS
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
AVE
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAN
42%
25%
34%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
AVE
1 - 1
VAS
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
5 - 1
AVE
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 1
CAM
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
AVE
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
AVE
2 - 0
GIU
49%
25%
26%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |