San Marzano vs Atletico Uri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
60.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
7º
18º
10º
37
5º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
89% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
89% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
71.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
26 | 26 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
SMR
2 - 2
PAG
8%
15%
78%
|
13 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ISC
0 - 0
SMR
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SMR
2 - 0
RFC
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ULD
2 - 0
SMR
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 0
SSC
10%
16%
75%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
Atletico Uri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AUR
2 - 5
ANZ
64%
18%
17%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
0 - 1
AUR
75%
17%
9%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
BOR
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BUD
2 - 1
AUR
29%
22%
50%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 0
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |