Primera Nacional . Jor. 19

San Martín Tucumán vs Sportivo Italiano analysis

San Martín Tucumán Sportivo Italiano
73 ELO 58
-5.8% Tilt -10.6%
475º General ELO ranking 5954º
30º Country ELO ranking 138º
ELO win probability
67.4%
San Martín Tucumán
21.2%
Draw
11.4%
Sportivo Italiano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
San Martín Tucumán
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
11.4%
Win probability
Sportivo Italiano
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
San Martín Tucumán
+10%
-7%
Sportivo Italiano

ELO progression

San Martín Tucumán
Sportivo Italiano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

San Martín Tucumán
San Martín Tucumán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2009
ALB
All Boys
1 - 0
San Martín Tucumán
SMA
47%
27%
27%
73 71 2 0
27 Nov. 2009
SMA
San Martín Tucumán
2 - 2
Olimpo
OLI
48%
27%
25%
73 71 2 0
20 Nov. 2009
SMA
San Martín San Juan
2 - 1
San Martín Tucumán
SMA
47%
27%
26%
73 74 1 0
15 Nov. 2009
SMA
San Martín Tucumán
2 - 2
Atletico Rafaela
RAF
43%
28%
29%
74 75 1 -1
07 Nov. 2009
QUI
Quilmes
2 - 1
San Martín Tucumán
SMA
45%
28%
27%
74 74 0 0

Matches

Sportivo Italiano
Sportivo Italiano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2009
ITA
Sportivo Italiano
2 - 2
Tiro Federal Rosario
TFE
30%
29%
41%
58 68 10 0
30 Nov. 2009
CAU
Unión Santa Fe
2 - 1
Sportivo Italiano
ITA
65%
22%
12%
58 71 13 0
21 Nov. 2009
ITA
Sportivo Italiano
0 - 1
Defensa y Justicia
DYJ
29%
29%
42%
59 68 9 -1
14 Nov. 2009
INS
Instituto
3 - 0
Sportivo Italiano
ITA
61%
25%
15%
59 71 12 0
07 Nov. 2009
ITA
Sportivo Italiano
0 - 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
GIM
31%
29%
41%
60 70 10 -1
X