San Martín Tucumán vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 1
SMA
22%
27%
51%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SMA
0 - 1
TIG
49%
25%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
BRO
1 - 0
SMA
21%
26%
53%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SMA
0 - 1
CHA
70%
19%
10%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
RIE
0 - 1
SMA
18%
25%
57%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
RAF
3 - 2
TIG
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
RIE
3 - 3
RAF
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
RAF
3 - 2
ALB
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
RAF
1 - 5
GIM
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
QUI
1 - 1
RAF
40%
27%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |