Torneo Regional Federal Amateur Semi-finals
Global 1-1
San Martín Formosa vs Central Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 0
MIT
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 0
SMA
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 0
SMA
17%
23%
59%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 0
CAM
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
4 - 3
RES
75%
17%
8%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
CEN
7 - 1
ARG
52%
26%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 3
CEN
42%
28%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 0
AMA
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 2
CEN
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
APE
2 - 3
CEN
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |