San Marino Calcio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
TER
61%
21%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 0
SAN
71%
20%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
ANC
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
PIA
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
PIS
2 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ASL
1 - 2
PIS
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASL
66%
22%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
ASL
2 - 1
GRO
31%
27%
41%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASL
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ASL
0 - 2
ASC
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -2 |