San Marcos Arica vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 3
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NTA
0 - 0
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
DLS
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
COQ
1 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CUR
2 - 1
DCO
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
DLS
3 - 1
CUR
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CUR
3 - 0
NTA
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
CUR
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CUR
0 - 0
DEP
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |