San Marcos Saucejo vs C.D. Arahelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
73.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Saucejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
8 - 0
SAN
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 4
AGU
39%
23%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CDA
5 - 0
SAN
85%
10%
4%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAR
16%
19%
65%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CDR
6 - 1
SAN
50%
22%
28%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Arahelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CDA
3 - 1
AGU
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
CDA
34%
24%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CDA
0 - 2
MON
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LAJ
3 - 1
CDA
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CDA
2 - 1
MOR
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |