San Marcial vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
REB
1 - 1
MAR
67%
18%
16%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
NAX
48%
23%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RAC
1 - 3
MAR
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
6 - 1
SPO
76%
15%
9%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALD
1 - 1
MAR
75%
14%
11%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 0
ALD
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 0
CAL
42%
25%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
CDA
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ILO
0 - 2
CAL
18%
21%
61%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
ALB
17%
21%
62%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |