San Lorenzo vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.6%
2-0
19.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
25%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.3%
4.6%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
HUR
0 - 0
SLO
41%
29%
30%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 0
TIG
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
EST
33%
29%
39%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
RAC
4 - 1
SLO
54%
26%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 0
CAU
50%
27%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
IND
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
JUU
37%
30%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SLP
4 - 1
IND
37%
30%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IND
3 - 2
LIN
43%
29%
27%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DPR
1 - 0
IND
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |