San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1988 |
SLO
2 - 2
IND
54%
24%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
PLA
0 - 3
SLO
40%
29%
31%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
EST
1 - 1
SLO
34%
31%
35%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
SLO
0 - 2
CEN
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1988 |
TAL
1 - 1
SLO
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1988 |
BOC
0 - 2
PLA
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
BOC
1 - 6
SMA
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
IND
2 - 1
BOC
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
BOC
2 - 0
EST
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1988 |
CEN
1 - 3
BOC
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |