San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
ITA
1 - 0
SLO
29%
31%
40%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
SLO
0 - 0
RAC
65%
20%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
EST
0 - 0
SLO
44%
29%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
SLO
2 - 1
NOB
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1987 |
INS
0 - 0
SLO
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
BOC
0 - 0
TEM
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
CAU
1 - 2
BOC
31%
29%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
BOC
2 - 3
ARG
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
GLP
0 - 1
BOC
38%
24%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
BOC
4 - 1
CEN
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |