AD San Juan vs San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 4
SJU
16%
18%
66%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SJU
2 - 0
GAN
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
0 - 3
SJU
62%
18%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SJU
1 - 1
ALF
26%
22%
52%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BEB
0 - 1
SJU
51%
21%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SFE
0 - 3
CAR
16%
19%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RAN
2 - 0
SFE
70%
17%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
DEL
2 - 1
SFE
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SFE
0 - 3
ZUE
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SFE
1 - 3
CUA
39%
23%
38%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |