San Francisco vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
11º
11º
31
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
UME
0 - 2
SFF
29%
29%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 0
TAU
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TAU
2 - 1
SFF
43%
29%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 1
SFF
24%
28%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UME
1 - 0
SFF
27%
29%
45%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
AZU
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TAU
4 - 1
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
AZU
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IND
2 - 1
CHO
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UME
0 - 0
IND
21%
25%
54%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |