San Bartolome vs Valdehornillo A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
61.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Bartolome
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PGA
1 - 2
SBA
34%
23%
44%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SBA
2 - 0
ZOR
47%
22%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LOG
2 - 1
SBA
71%
16%
12%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ZOR
3 - 1
SBA
32%
23%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SBA
6 - 3
SMA
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Valdehornillo A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 0
LOG
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SMA
3 - 1
VAL
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
VAL
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 1
ZUR
60%
20%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ELA
2 - 1
VAL
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |