Sampdoria vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 1
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
SAM
1 - 1
TRE
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
SAM
2 - 2
UDI
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
ACM
1 - 1
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
UDI
1 - 1
SAM
57%
25%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
MES
0 - 0
SIE
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
LIV
2 - 2
MES
55%
24%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MES
1 - 0
CAG
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
FIO
2 - 0
MES
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
MES
1 - 1
LAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |