Sampdoria vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
20.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 0
SAM
50%
29%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
SAM
0 - 1
SSS
64%
24%
13%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
CAV
1 - 1
SAM
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
SAM
2 - 0
PAL
54%
26%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
BRE
2 - 1
SAM
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 0
VER
62%
24%
14%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
PES
1 - 2
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 1
REG
64%
23%
13%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
CAT
0 - 2
VAR
44%
29%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 0
USC
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |