Sampdoria vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
CES
0 - 1
SAM
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
SAM
4 - 1
PAL
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
FCS
1 - 3
SAM
4%
13%
83%
|
84 | 45 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
SAM
1 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
BOL
2 - 2
SAM
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
CES
0 - 1
SAM
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
CES
1 - 0
FCS
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
PAL
2 - 3
CES
43%
28%
30%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
COS
2 - 1
CES
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
CES
2 - 2
GEN
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |