Sampdoria vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
20%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
16.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
30.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAM
65%
23%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1974 |
BOL
2 - 2
SAM
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
SAM
0 - 0
TOR
33%
32%
36%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 0
SAM
45%
30%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
TER
1 - 1
SAM
52%
28%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
CES
2 - 1
CAG
42%
30%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1974 |
CES
1 - 0
ACM
20%
27%
53%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
ROM
2 - 0
CES
66%
23%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
VIC
2 - 0
CES
57%
28%
15%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
CES
0 - 0
INT
24%
28%
48%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |