American Samoa vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
0.8%
Win probability

0.1
Expected goals
2-0
<0%
+2
<0%
1-0
0.7%
2-1
0.1%
+1
0.8%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
1.8%
2-2
0.1%
0
8.8%
90.3%
Win probability

2.57
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
22.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
24.9%
0-3
19.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0%
-3
20.9%
0-4
12.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
13.2%
0-5
6.5%
1-6
0.3%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
1%
1-8
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

+63%
+2%

ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
American Samoa

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 May. 2004 |
FIJ
![]() 11 - 0
![]() ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
7 | 57 | 50 | 0 |
12 May. 2004 |
ASA
![]() 1 - 9
![]() VAN
1%
10%
89%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
10 May. 2004 |
SAM
![]() 4 - 0
![]() ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
7 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
14 Apr. 2001 |
ASA
![]() 0 - 5
![]() TON
2%
13%
86%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
11 Apr. 2001 |
AUS
![]() 31 - 0
![]() ASA
86%
11%
3%
|
7 | 89 | 82 | 0 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 May. 2004 |
FIJ
![]() 4 - 2
![]() PNG
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
10 May. 2004 |
PNG
![]() 1 - 1
![]() VAN
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
03 Jul. 2003 |
TAH
![]() 3 - 0
![]() PNG
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
01 Jul. 2003 |
PNG
![]() 2 - 2
![]() TON
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
14 Jun. 2003 |
PNG
![]() 3 - 5
![]() CYM
37%
23%
39%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -2 |