American Samoa vs Samoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
1.6%
Win probability
0.17
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.1%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
0.3%
3-2
<0%
+1
1.5%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
3%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
10.5%
87.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.3%
-1
21.6%
0-2
21.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.2%
-2
25%
0-3
17.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
19.9%
0-4
11%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0%
-4
12%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+184%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
American Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SOL
12 - 1
ASA
95%
5%
1%
|
7 | 49 | 42 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
ASA
0 - 10
PNG
1%
9%
90%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
FIJ
11 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
7 | 57 | 50 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
ASA
1 - 9
VAN
1%
10%
89%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
SAM
4 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
7 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
VAN
4 - 0
SAM
62%
20%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 4
PNG
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
SAM
0 - 4
FIJ
9%
18%
74%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SAM
0 - 3
VAN
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
SAM
4 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |