Sammaurese vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 1
FOR
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 2
SAM
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 0
BAG
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ACP
1 - 2
SAM
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 2
LEN
20%
24%
56%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
3 - 1
ACP
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 0
PRO
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 0
ASD
31%
23%
47%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
BAG
2 - 1
PRO
46%
23%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
SER
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |